April 2024 Fund Update

Waterhouse VC is a fund for wholesale investors, specialising in global publicly listed and private businesses related to wagering and gaming.

Since inception in August 2019, Waterhouse VC has achieved a gross total return of 3,067% (111% annualised), as at 31 March 2024, assuming the reinvestment of all distributions.

It’s Free!

Sweepstakes casinos operate without real-money bets. Instead, they utilise a "freemium" approach. The model typically involves virtual tokens obtained at no cost or through indirect purchase, which then serves as play money for accessing in-game features. Virtual currency can be exchanged for cash or prizes following gameplay. The largest sweepstakes casinos have been operating for over 10 years.

In jurisdictions where real money online casino gaming (iGaming) is illegal or unregulated, sweepstakes models effectively give consumers an experience that closely resembles iGaming. Real money casino players would recognise the leading sweepstake casino products, with sweepstakes slot titles produced by developers such as Pragmatic Play, Playtech, and NetEnt. 

The global sweepstakes market grew revenues at 89% per annum between 2019 and 2022, reaching US$3.1 billion in 2022 (Eilers & Krejcik Gaming). This is just under half of the entire US sports betting market, which recorded US$7.5 billion of gross gaming revenue in 2022, led by Flutter and DraftKings. 

The US has driven the growth of the global sweepstakes market, with iGaming still banned in most US states. Although online sports betting is now permitted in over 30 states, the legalisation of iGaming has progressed much more gradually, with legalisation in just seven states: Connecticut, Delaware, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and West Virginia. In states without iGaming, sweepstakes fills a wagering product gap by offering an iGaming-like player experience.

Perth’s (real) gold rush

Virtual Gaming Worlds (VGW) is the dominant sweepstakes operator, with more than 90% market share (Eilers & Krejcik Gaming), primarily through its Chumba Casino brand. VGW’s customers purchase virtual gold coins to play in Chumba Casino. These coins do not carry any value outside of Chumba Casino. However, players purchasing gold coins receive bonus "sweeps coins", which also serve as game currency and can be exchanged for cash in most regions of the US and Canada.

A selection of VGW’s games. Source: Channel News

VGW was founded by Laurence Escalante in 2010 and now has more than 1300 staff globally, with around 220 in Perth, Australia. In March, VGW reported its results for the first half of the financial year. The company reported a 29% increase in revenue to A$2.8 billion and a 23% increase in net profit to A$207 million. At just 42 years old, Escalante has become one of Australia's wealthiest people, with a fortune of approximately $3.9 billion (Australian Financial Review) and a circa 70% ownership share of VGW. Escalante joins 28 year old Ed Craven on the rich list. Craven co-founded Melbourne-based crypto wagering operator, Stake.com, in 2017. In 2021, Stake recorded revenues of A$1.8 billion and generated a net profit of $550 million (Australian Financial Review), fuelling Craven’s A$3.1 billion fortune.

Pinch me 

As a teenager, Escalante’s first job was at Hungry Jacks, earning $5.65 per hour. He then studied Actuarial Studies and Economics in Sydney, whilst working in retail at The Reject Shop. Today, Escalante’s Instagram account reveals a very different life, resembling most boys’ fantasies. 

One of Laurence Escalante’s possessions, a Lamborghini Countach. Source: Instagram

Whilst VGW operates in the US under a Maltese gaming licence, changes to federal sweepstakes regulations or variations in state laws could disrupt VGW and other sweepstakes operators. Furthermore, as more states legalise iGaming, customers are likely to be increasingly attracted to iGaming operators rather than sweepstakes casinos.

The rapid growth of sweepstakes casinos has attracted several new players to the market in recent years, including Stake.US, a sweepstakes adaptation of Ed Craven’s well-known crypto wagering site. The sweepstakes market is forecast to grow at 31% per annum over the next three years, driven by growth in US states that do not permit iGaming (Eilers & Krejcik Gaming).

Aristocrat Leisure has also developed games that offer players an experience resembling iGaming. Over the past few years, Lightning Link Casino, a slot machine simulator, has consistently been the most profitable mobile game in Australia (Sensor Tower). Lighting Link is one of several free-to-play slot machine simulators available in Australia, a jurisdiction where iGaming is not allowed. Unlike sweepstakes models, businesses like Lightning Link are categorised as ‘social casinos’. 

The primary distinction between social casinos and sweepstakes lies in the ability to win cash prizes on sweepstakes. While social casinos offer free-play (with the ability to buy additional in-game currency) experiences solely for entertainment purposes, sweepstakes casinos offer the opportunity to win real money rewards. Globally, players spend around US$1 billion (A$1.56 billion) on in-game currency across Aristocrat’s collection of social casino games. In 2020, social casinos generated close to US$7 billion of revenue globally (Australian Communications and Media Authority).

Global revenue for social casinos. Source: Australian Communications and Media Authority

Media

I will be speaking on “Under Attack: Activists Besiege the Gaming Sector” this May 7-9 at SBC Summit North America. Register and learn more here.

We recently spoke with a variety of B2B and B2C wagering companies about their journey to acquire their first customers. If you would like to learn more, our insights are discussed here

For wholesale investors interested in following wagering and gaming industry news and trends, please follow our updates on Twitter (@waterhousevc) or through our website at WaterhouseVC.com.


All the best,

Tom


DISCLAIMER AND IMPORTANT NOTES

Please note the above information in relation to Aristocrat Leisure, Lightning Link Casino, Pragmatic Play, Playtech, NetEnt, Virtual Gaming Worlds, Chumba Casino, Stake, Flutter and DraftKings is based on publicly available information in relation to the company and should not be considered nor construed as financial product advice. The Fund currently has a position in Flutter Entertainment Plc. The information provided in this document is general information only and does not constitute investment or other advice. Readers should consult and rely on professional investment advice specific to their individual circumstances.

General Information Only

This material is for general information only and is not an offer for the purchase or sale of any financial product or service. The material has been prepared for investors who qualify as wholesale clients under sections 761G of the Corporations Act or to any other person who is not required to be given a regulated disclosure document under the Corporations Act. The material is not intended to provide you with financial or tax advice and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Although we believe that the material is correct, no warranty of accuracy, reliability or completeness is given, except for liability under statute which cannot be excluded. Please note that past performance may not be indicative of future performance and that no guarantee of performance, the return of capital or a particular rate of return is given by Sandford Capital, Waterhouse VC or any other person. To the maximum extent possible, Sandford Capital, Waterhouse VC or any other person do not accept any liability for any statement in this material.

Financial Regulatory Oversight and Administration

Waterhouse VC is an Australian Unit Trust denominated in AUD and available to wholesale institutional investors worldwide with a minimum of AUD 1,000,000 or USD / EUR / GBP / JPY / CHF equivalent.  This material has been prepared by Waterhouse VC Pty Ltd (ABN 48 635 494 861) (‘Waterhouse VC’, ‘Trustee’, ‘us’ or ‘we’) as the Trustee of the Waterhouse VC Fund (the ‘Fund’). The Trustee is a corporate authorised representative (CAR 1278656) of Sandford Capital Pty Limited (ABN 82 600 590 887) (AFSL 461981) (Sandford Capital) and appoints Sandford Capital as its AFS licensed intermediary under s911A(2)(b) of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) to arrange for the offer to issue, vary or dispose of units in the Fund.

Performance

Past performance of Waterhouse VC is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Waterhouse VC Pty Ltd does not guarantee the performance of any strategy or the return of an investor’s capital or any specific rate of return. No allowance has been made for taxation, where applicable. We encourage you to think of investing as a long-term pursuit.

Copyright

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Governing Law

These Terms and Conditions of use are governed by and are to be construed in accordance with the laws of New South Wales. By accepting these Terms and Conditions of use, you agree to the non-exclusive jurisdiction of the courts of New South Wales, Australia in respect of any proceedings concerning these Terms and Conditions of use.